All articles from Overcoming Bias

What Is Liberal Futarchy?

What measurable outcomes should a futarchy government try to maximize?

A Governance Innovation Crisis

Consider two possible ways culture could be kept adaptive:

A Status Story of Modern Abstraction

Ten days ago I posted on the modern rise and fall of abstraction, focusing more on the most potent changes to our highest most powerful abstractions, ones which often influenced many fields at once.

Wealth, Reason Weaken Culture

What could cause rich healthy peaceful societies like ours to so consistently become “decadent”?

My Big Ask

I’ve noticed after several years writing on cultural drift, I’ve yet to tempt anyone to work with me on understanding or fixing it, nor to indirectly support such efforts.

Prediction Markets Now

I’ve been asked: what do I think of Kalshi and Polymarket, the suddenly big prediction markets.

The Money Ick

Recently Kalshi’s CEO Mansour said: “[Our] long-term vision is to financialize everything and create a tradable asset out of any difference in opinion”.

Market Sabotage is Rare

Stock markets trade a lot of money estimating the expected future profits of each firm.

The Rise And Fall of Abstraction

Most animals see the world around them in pretty concrete terms.