All articles from Silver Bulletin

“AI polls” are fake polls

But they might be useful as something else: models.

How popular is the Iran War?

Silver Bulletin approval ratings for the ongoing conflict.

Nuclear brinkmanship usually works. It’s also incredibly dangerous.

A small chance of a catastrophic outcome isn’t something to shrug off.

COOPER women's NCAA basketball ratings

Silver Bulletin's brand new power ratings for all 363 women's Division I NCAA basketball teams.

COOPER men's NCAA basketball ratings

Silver Bulletin's brand new power ratings for all 365 men's Division I NCAA basketball teams.

Iran is Trump's biggest political mistake

Narrow mandates and "transformative" presidencies aren’t a good political match.

Social media has become a freak show

The ecosystem is incredibly unhealthy, especially on Twitter. But if it dies, good riddance.

2026 March Madness Predictions

Silver Bulletin odds for the men's NCAA tournament, powered by our new COOPER ratings.

How popular is Donald Trump?

Silver Bulletin approval ratings for President Trump — and all presidents since Truman.

Who’s ahead on the generic congressional ballot?

Our constantly-updating tracker of polls for the most important indicator in the race for Congress.

⏜ Our radical plan to replace the NBA draft ⏜

What if you could penalize tanking, decrease randomness, reduce perverse incentives, and give teams more control over their fate? There's one big catch: you have to ditch the draft for an auction.

How popular is Elon Musk?

Silver Bulletin favorability ratings for the world's richest man.

2026 Women's March Madness Predictions

Silver Bulletin odds for every round of the tournament, powered by our new COOPER ratings.

Trump approval just hit the 30s. Can his numbers get any lower?

$4 gas is a big problem for Trump. But broken campaign promises and series of self-inflicted wounds are eroding support even among Trump’s base.